October 2025: Volatility, Rate Cuts & Strong Strategy Results

Welcome! This month, we dive into a possible Fed rate cut, wild crypto market swings, and how Diamond Pigs’ strategies performed through it all.

In This Issue

• Fed expected to cut rates again on October 29
  
• September–October crypto market rollercoaster
• Diamond Pigs’ 3-month strategy performance review
• Join the Beta: new Flexible Pricing Plan
• New Flexible Pricing Plan: join the beta

Global Market Update

Fed Expected to Cut Rates Again on October 29

The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates again on October 29, with markets pricing in a 97% chance of a 0.25% reduction. This would bring the federal funds rate down to 3.75%–4.0%.

The move would follow what Fed Chair Jerome Powell called a “risk-management cut” in September — a step aimed at protecting the economy from further weakness in the job market, rather than starting a long series of rate cuts.

Analysts at J.P. Morgan expect two more cuts in 2025 and one additional cut in 2026, unless the labor market shows a clear recovery. The Fed’s latest outlook suggests that interest rates could move closer to 3% by the end of 2025, as policymakers try to balance stubborn inflation with rising employment risks.

The ongoing U.S. government shutdown has made things even trickier for the Fed, delaying important economic data that usually guides its decisions. Private data sources, however, point to a slowing job market and mild inflation pressures linked to tariffs. The shutdown itself is also expected to weigh on short-term economic growth.

The recent ceasefire in the Middle East could also help ease inflation. With tensions declining and fewer disruptions in oil shipping routes, energy prices have started to fall. If this continues, lower fuel costs may support the Fed’s goal of keeping inflation under control and increase the likelihood of future rate cuts.

Crypto Market Highlights

Market Rollercoaster: September–October Crypto Recap

The past month has been nothing short of a rollercoaster for the crypto market. Bitcoin and the broader crypto space experienced their first major liquidation on September 25, triggered by excessive leverage. BTC fell sharply from $116K to $108K, which appears to be a strong support level at this stage.

Soon after, Bitcoin surged to a new all-time high of $125K, only to face another sharp correction that dragged the entire market down once again. Altcoins suffered even deeper losses — some correcting by as much as 80% — as Bitcoin dropped 13% within just 10 minutes, marking the largest liquidation event in crypto history.

Within hours, the total crypto market cap plunged from $4.1 trillion to $3.3 trillion, before rebounding by over $500 billion just 12 hours later. This dramatic volatility underscores the importance of having your portfolio managed by active trading bots with trailing stop-loss mechanisms — otherwise, the damage to an unprotected wallet could have been disastrous.

The latest dip followed President Trump’s tweets on China and new tariff plans, which rattled both equity and crypto markets. Although administration officials later clarified that the U.S.–China relationship remains “good,” and the U.S. Treasury Secretary stated that 100% tariffs on China “don’t have to happen,” the damage had already been done.

A theory circulating on X (formerly Twitter) suggests that the October 10–11 crypto market crash — which resulted in over $19 billion in liquidations — may not have been a random event. The post argues that the timing, exchange-specific nature, and precision of the crashes point to a possible coordinated attack exploiting temporary structural vulnerabilities, potentially netting attackers up to $1 billion. While alternative explanations such as cascading liquidations or general market panic remain plausible, the author claims the data patterns are too specific to be purely coincidental.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance has climbed above 60% for the first time in two months, and BTC has pushed back toward the $114K–$115K range, currently trading around $111K–$113K.

This wild price action marks one of the most volatile stretches in recent months — even seasoned crypto veterans are calling it unprecedented. The past weeks indicate that volatility will likely remain high in the coming period, and the overall market trend — whether up or down — will probably be determined by macroeconomic developments and broader investor sentiment.

That said, Bitcoin still has some catching up to do with gold. Historically, the two assets have shown a strong correlation, and while gold is up 58% year-to-date, Bitcoin has gained only 35%. This suggests that the next major move for BTC could be upward rather than downward.

Diamond Pigs’ 3-Month Strategy Performance Review

Over the past quarter, most strategies delivered positive results, with single-coin and momentum-based strategies leading the way.

Top Performers: Single-Coin Strategies
BNB Protect was the strongest performer, gaining +30.3%, followed by Top 3 Crypto Protect at +27.4% and Dogecoin Protect at +17.3%. These results highlight the effectiveness of our protection system, which captures upside momentum while limiting downside risk.

Mid Performers: Broad Index & Altcoin Strategies
Ethereum Protect (+17.1%) and Ripple Protect (+12.6%) showed steady gains, while the Top 10 Crypto Index (+11.7%) benefited from broad market strength. Meme Coins Protect also ended positive (+10.4%), showing solid positioning despite volatility.

Lagging Strategies: Bitcoin-Focused Approaches

Bitcoin Protect (-10.4%) underperformed, reflecting Bitcoin’s relative weakness compared to major altcoins such as ETH, SOL, and DOGE. Crypto Mix Protect (+1.7%) showed resilience despite the high volatility and recent crash across much of the altcoin market.

Outlook: Continued Strength in Altcoins

Looking ahead, altcoin- and meme-coin-focused strategies remain well positioned. Our bots are actively monitoring for re-entry points in undervalued assets.With improving sentiment and supportive market conditions, we see a positive setup for continued growth into year-end.

Last 90 Days Diamond Pigs Strategies Performance

Join the Beta: New Flexible Pricing Plan

We launched the beta a few weeks ago with around 50 early users, and feedback so far has been very positive. A few small issues have already been resolved, and we’re now inviting more members to join before the official rollout at the end of the month.

Interested ? Click here to join

Why switch?

• No performance fees
• Predictable monthly cost
• Full control over your plan
  

Basic Plan

• 0.25% of the wallet portion managed by Diamond Pigs
• Minimum $20/month (incl. VAT)
• Includes 1 strategy, 1 exchange connection, and up to 2 excluded coins
  

Optional Add-ons

• Extra strategy — $10/month
• Extra exchange — $10/month
• Unlimited excluded coins — $20/month
• Or get all add-ons for $50/month max

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